
Before there was a Motors Liquidation Co, post-bankruptcy GM's hived-off shelter for useless assets, there was Old Carco LLC. That's the company Chrysler built to house its useless assets, and unsurprisingly, it doesn't have good news for unsecured creditors. Old Carco was left with liabilities of $20.5 billion, but has less than half of that to pay off everyone it owes.
The latest accounting says there is $2.345 billion to pay things off. With a shortfall that drastic, even the U.S. Treasury and the Canadian governments are waiting for their money, with a $3.34 billion loan and $29 million in interest going not being repaid. The Treasury sent Old Carco a notice of default last month, which strikes us as a waste of a stamp and paper.
And since Old Carco isn't allowed to borrow any more money, there is almost no chance that creditors will be made whole. At this point, as the company tries to unload leftover factories and property, it looks like the best anyone's going to get is pennies on the dollar -- or just fractions of that -- and that could be for the folks first in line. Old Carco is dead, long live Chrysler...

After decades of pushing heavy iron, General Motors executives are telling the company's dealers to think "beyond our dominance in trucks" and prepare to start selling small cars (vehicles like the forthcoming Chevrolet Cruze, above). The message was broadcast late last week at the Rock Financial Showplace in Michigan, as representatives from about 430 GM dealers gathered to hear the automaker's latest plans as they emerge from bankruptcy. Brent Dewar, the new vice president of Chevrolet Global, added that dealers, "have to think slightly different... about how to sell the value of the vehicle on content and that small doesn't mean less."
Other news to emerge from the event included the announcement that GM had appointed an executive tasked with retaining the three million GM customers who will lose their vehicle model, GM brand, or dealership to the restructuring, and that Buick is planning a new mid-size sedan for 2010 followed by a compact car in late 2011. GM also said that strong Pontiac sales this summer will allow the brand to exhaust its inventory by the end of the year, ahead of earlier projections.




Some analysts are wondering if Porsche isn't running itself more like the Blackstone Group than as an automaker. The option trades it used last year to take control of Volkswagen netted the German automaker €6.8 billion. The business of selling cars netted Porsche just €1 billion over the same period. And that's not all: Porsche made an additional €392 million trading shares in other companies on the German exchange. This has industry watchers trying to figure out how Porsche is looking to make its money, especially considering that its total stock exposure is €31 billion. Even though Porsche has valued its stake in VW at less than half the current value of VW shares, the concern is that VW shares are overvalued and another industry jolt could drive them below the price Porsche paid. And that has people wondering whether the ensuing writedown would cause the controlling Porsche and Piech familes to lose control of the company or inject personal funds to prop it up. Beyond those hypothetical concerns, Porsche has the real challenge of refinancing a debt that currently comes due at the end of March. With severely reduced cash flow from actually selling cars, Porsche might be looking at unconventional measures, or even the trading floor, to help it out. But after making jokes at the opening of the Porsche Museum that went 100% over budget, if Porsche CEO Wendelin Wiedeking is nervous about the company's financials, you'd never know it.

Ask for a little help from the government, and the next thing you know you're asking for the government to protect you from the very help it's giving you. General Motors is restructuring its debt load by offering equity shares instead of cash to debt holders, namely the government and the UAW. The UAW transaction concerns the VEBA health care fund in that GM wants to pay its obligation to the fund with shares. The issue is that this transaction is a debt-asset swap and comes with a distressed asset tax (DAT) of $7 billion. The DAT was codified in 1986 to prevent companies from buying money-losing companies just to avoid paying taxes. In GM's case, the debt-asset swap counts as corporate income, but GM can claim it's 2008 losses against that income, greatly reducing its tax bill. If the tax isn't waived, GM will need to immediately return $7 billion of the money it was just given. It is talking to the Treasury Department, but so far it's been no dice. GM has been lobbying to have a waiver provision put in the economic stimulus bill currently being wrangled over in the Senate, yet there's also been no movement there, either. It's almost inconceivable that the government will demand GM pay the tax. It's equally hard to believe that this is even taking place.
The UAW idled Chrysler's jobs bank earlier this week, and as of February 2, the UAW and General Motors will shut down the job bank it also maintains for its workers. GM is paying the 1,600 workers currently in the system 85% of their on-the-job wages. As of February 3, they will receive a measure of supplemental pay from GM and can apply for unemployment, the total of which should come to 72% of their former pay. The move potentially leaves Ford's jobs bank as the only one left running, but Ford has yet to comment on its status.
